CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada5dac4664ccfc65e57ec1e8699efbc5ec0662c8f1735a527c89a0343d74fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4272…10c2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 22,000$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,415.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked HOTU | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 10,187$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.32 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 20c | 9,267$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.87 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 32c | 4,065$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.13 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 49c | 3,292$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed HOTU | 71c | 2,771$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 1,481$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.75 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked HOTU | 60c | 1,450$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 31c | 1,400$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.1 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed HOTU | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.1 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed HOTU | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.14 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 955.08$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 822.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 810.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked HOTU | 44c | 798.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.67 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed HOTU | 50c | 766.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 46c | 760$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked HOTU | 48c | 746.92$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 62c | 728.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 723.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.42 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 40c | 714$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked HOTU | 67c | 681.71$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 54c | 671.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed HOTU | 55c | 653.51$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 32c | 636.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 628.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed HOTU | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked HOTU | 52c | 581.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked HOTU | 52c | 581$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked HOTU | 48c | 580$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed HOTU | 73c | 545.41$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed HOTU | 56c | 543.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked HOTU | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 16c | 507.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed HOTU | 73c | 506.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed HOTU | 55c | 491.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 459.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU | 59c | 450.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…3fc5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 60c | 441.22$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 39c | 429.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked HOTU | 70c | 425.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed HOTU | 73c | 405.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HOTU | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed HOTU | 72c | 379.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 25c | 372$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 51c | 370.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 39c | 368.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked HOTU | 40c | 357.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked HOTU | 52c | 321.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked HOTU | 49c | 317$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed HOTU | 60c | 313.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed HOTU | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed HOTU | 48c | 305.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed HOTU | 52c | 304.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed HOTU | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 284.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 263$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked HOTU | 48c | 251.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 32c | 250.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 59c | 248.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 241.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed HOTU | 75c | 239.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 33c | 239.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed HOTU | 66c | 232.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 214.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked HOTU | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 64c | 207.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed HOTU | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked HOTU | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HOTU | 48c | 194.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed HOTU | 70c | 190.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 68c | 174.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed HOTU | 73c | 164.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed HOTU | 70c | 164.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed HOTU | 73c | 144$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 68c | 143.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed HOTU | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…6036backed HOTU | 73c | 135.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 25c | 134.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed HOTU | 66c | 131.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HOTU | 69c | 123.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…0944backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 17c | 117.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed HOTU | 70c | 117.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…ac95backed HOTU | 53c | 114.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked HOTU | 68c | 112.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 33c | 111.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 104.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed HOTU | 54c | 101.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked HOTU | 72c | 94.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.