CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c0503d2d11d5f27790fb106e99cf2067afb5108a5338adca5dc4e6629078dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof HOTU, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 75c | 942.99$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 13c | 450.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 156.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 41c | 128$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 31c | 121.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 107.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 102.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HOTU | 20c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 30c | 87.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HOTU | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked HOTU | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HOTU | 49c | 47.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 22c | 46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HOTU | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 34.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 60c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 68c | 20.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.