Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa573400b588079857899fce1e5a68da2d086f63fd35cbdd626df397e19e9995e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,800,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,796,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,800,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 51c | 68,448$34,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,609.63 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 24c | 49,349$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,629.44 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 35c | 40,660$14,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,051.92 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 43c | 35,611$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.72 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 2c | 30,452$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.84 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 74c | 30,125$22,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,292.93 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 22c | 28,415$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,147.81 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 26c | 27,905$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,767.61 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed No | 30c | 25,322$7,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 70c | 25,106$17,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,559.12 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 21c | 24,014$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.46 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 35c | 22,839$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,889.09 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 20,035$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.29 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed No | 40c | 19,486$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,638.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 64c | 18,786$12,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,046.63 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed No | 30c | 17,469$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.12 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 57c | 16,209$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,232.42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 43c | 15,650$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.98 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 29c | 15,304$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,834.22 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,365$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 33c | 13,405$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,941.66 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 61c | 13,394$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.82 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 32c | 12,816$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.1 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…a718backed Yes | 70c | 12,747$8,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…58c3backed Yes | 5c | 12,654$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed No | 23c | 12,355$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.43 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 12,215$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.43 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Yes | 49c | 11,999$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.78 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 77c | 11,907$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.8 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…2a4ebacked Yes | 18c | 11,408$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 70c | 11,255$7,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,836.49 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 57c | 11,148$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.97 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…05ecbacked Yes | 76c | 11,015$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 49c | 10,231$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.53 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.1 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed No | 65c | 9,562$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 75c | 9,559$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.77 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked No | 23c | 9,457$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 72c | 9,146$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +131%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,998$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 69c | 8,989$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.86 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes | 5c | 8,890$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.89 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 3c | 8,800$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 14c | 8,754$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.38 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 24c | 8,690$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.01 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 72c | 8,555$6,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.68 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 8,404$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 1c | 8,272$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 62c | 8,231$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.55 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 69c | 8,081$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.48 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 62c | 8,052$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.67 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 73c | 8,044$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.61 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 25c | 8,005$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.41 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…fd2fbacked No | 70c | 7,741$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 46c | 7,686$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 13c | 7,322$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.7 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 39c | 7,260$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.85 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 44c | 7,012$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.58 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…a7b1backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +258.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 50c | 6,935$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.48 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 41c | 6,807$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.78 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 21c | 6,801$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.34 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 47c | 6,572$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.44 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Yes | 53c | 6,289$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 23c | 6,234$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.81 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 77c | 6,159$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.76 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 61c | 5,978$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.24 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 27c | 5,898$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 35cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 20c | 5,874$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.86 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 71c | 5,783$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 53c | 5,685$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed No | 29c | 5,678$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.96 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 65c | 5,660$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.33 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 17c | 5,582$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.95 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed No | 30c | 5,494$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed Yes | 38c | 5,436$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 16c | 5,380$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.25 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 42c | 5,372$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 18c | 5,278$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.78 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 66c | 5,272$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…3a93backed No | 23c | 5,176$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +251.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 77c | 5,152$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 5,120$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…128ebacked No | 46c | 5,104$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked No | 29c | 5,082$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 58c | 4,961$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.93 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…6fddbacked No | 30c | 4,958$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 43c | 4,872$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.9 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 32c | 4,703$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,694$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 63c | 4,587$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.1 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 34c | 4,527$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.18 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…ae9abacked No | 18c | 4,513$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 40c | 4,395$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.94 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 55c | 4,231$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.33 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…8d97backed No | 26c | 4,166$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 76c | 4,157$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.2 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.