Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7546918378d63097393ed497ab60d8f911b742abc42b8263bb2504816b4741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 2c | 27,593$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 6c | 26,250$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.66 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 16,899$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 21c | 12,183$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.74 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 3c | 9,740$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.95 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 6c | 8,177$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Yes | 28c | 5,555$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 71c | 4,945$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 4,524$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 4c | 4,389$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,172$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 7c | 3,637$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…bf7fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…0f3cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 3,273$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…5f9cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,100$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 6c | 2,889$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231b…73dfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,534$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 9c | 2,243$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 14c | 2,111$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.09 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 2,078$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…6e43backed Yes | 30c | 1,853$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,846$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 65c | 1,808$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 77c | 1,695$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.21 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,344$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 16c | 1,342$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 12c | 1,326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,293$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 24c | 1,256$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 72c | 1,247$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 22c | 1,240$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Yes | 24c | 1,135$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 8c | 1,077$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 10c | 950$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 64c | 935.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 71c | 909.9$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 12c | 889.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 27c | 881$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.87 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 8c | 800.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 2c | 791.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 74c | 776.2$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 63c | 722.8$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked Yes | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 14c | 676.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 18c | 673.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…01d0backed Yes | 6c | 638.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…9873backed Yes | 5c | 567$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 17c | 530.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 22c | 508$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…06b1backed Yes | 13c | 501.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 4c | 436.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…d740backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 69c | 431.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 24c | 413.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 74c | 411.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…9e40backed Yes | 2c | 410.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 405.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 35c | 370.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…e1e1backed Yes | 3c | 367$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 67c | 352.52$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 13c | 338.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 17c | 326.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14d…bc1dbacked Yes | 3c | 321$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…79d7backed No | 80c | 318.58$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 20c | 299.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 72c | 278.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked Yes | 7c | 262.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 37c | 212.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 206.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 78c | 202$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…c465backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…23a0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 57c | 191.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…48c6backed No | 67c | 165.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 34c | 157.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes | 33c | 152.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 70c | 149.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…7d86backed Yes | 15c | 147.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.