TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cb2…7f19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tweets, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$56.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$78.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$67.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.3%+$43.18
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63.3
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+46.3%+$95
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+45%+$524.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+62.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+34.2%+$18.84
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+46%+$62.28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$599.97
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+251.3%+$146.73
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$954.89
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,187.71
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$147.24
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+231.4%+$149.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+300%+$5,400
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$297.11
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$157.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+233.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+95.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.85
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nisha be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+207.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$26.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$175.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.