Movies · resolved market
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6712f6ce3196e2af44037bd0e1899a46a0d97e888cc1f3b51f23d1feaa1e5807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 14c | 2,281$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed No | 10c | 1,008$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 17c | 863$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 48c | 657$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 52c | 593$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 78c | 580$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 22c | 580$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 17c | 574$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 18c | 568.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 540.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 52c | 525$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 48c | 459$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 15c | 311.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed No | 22c | 291.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 7c | 249.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…175bbacked Yes | 73c | 243.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 236.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…2ac1backed Yes | 74c | 148.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 48c | 142$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 22c | 126.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 122.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 119.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 76c | 106.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed No | 21c | 105.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed No | 16c | 97.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 75c | 55.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked No | 24c | 47.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…54ddbacked Yes | 77c | 45.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…946fbacked Yes | 79c | 38.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 36c | 34.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…cd2dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…eae3backed Yes | 75c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…9a5bbacked Yes | 76c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.