Token Launches · resolved market
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e663e149e7e4400060c5f5cfd5cd796878c1b73156f834317466c82fe8ea0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0567…247cbacked No | 1c | 26,867$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 1c | 16,711$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 13,069$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 13,011$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…3ac0backed No | 3c | 6,714$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 5,918$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 5,178$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…4c08backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed No | 1c | 3,836$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 2c | 3,701$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…df07backed No | 2c | 3,637$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked No | 14c | 3,437$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…bf25backed No | 10c | 3,043$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 3,041$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 2,923$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,301$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 1c | 2,168$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 3c | 2,045$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,956$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…826ebacked No | 1c | 1,953$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 2c | 1,905$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…d7fbbacked No | 3c | 1,700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed No | 1c | 1,511$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…c4dbbacked No | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked No | 3c | 1,484$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 1,398$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed No | 1c | 1,259$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…c002backed No | 10c | 1,234$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 1,098$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 43c | 1,047$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.47 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c6…9523backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed Yes | 79c | 899.99$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b5f0backed No | 2c | 793.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7778backed No | 1c | 764.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…a707backed Yes | 58c | 735.45$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 705.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed No | 21c | 700$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed No | 22c | 694.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 2c | 692.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 58c | 689.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 650.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed No | 41c | 630.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 6c | 606.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 6c | 586.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 3c | 583.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…962cbacked Yes | 60c | 555.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…5a5ebacked Yes | 44c | 511.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b8…808bbacked No | 4c | 508.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed No | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 6c | 484.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…fb85backed No | 23c | 466.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 6c | 436.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…8475backed No | 7c | 378.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed No | 56c | 347.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 311.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 37c | 284.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 14c | 279.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…2a67backed No | 59c | 258.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 76c | 250.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…8c04backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 6c | 248.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 13c | 230.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 24c | 226.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 41c | 224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 13c | 221.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 209.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…accbbacked No | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…c377backed No | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 191.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 25c | 174.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed No | 22c | 149.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 16c | 148.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1ecebacked No | 10c | 127.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 14c | 120.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…0764backed No | 27c | 102.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…26d0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…b993backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 41c | 92.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 14c | 87.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7674…972cbacked No | 20c | 81.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 51c | 81.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…68c6backed Yes | 65c | 75.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 43c | 68.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…2ef4backed No | 55c | 67.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…9e28backed No | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…6bccbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Trove launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trove launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.