TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6cb…3f69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Squid FDV above $40M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$92.73
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$44.89
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$60.11
Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$22.01
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.22
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.58
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$159.43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$909.93
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$382.5
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$24.79
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$115.71
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.86
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.87
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.98
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.38
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+122.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.52
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$302
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$386
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$5,088.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$1,238.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+335.2%+$2,054.63
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+279.8%+$285.44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,747Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$1,882.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+365.1%+$314
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$162.96
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,308.5%+$654.23
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$111.06
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58%+$30.02
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$171.72
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$7.55
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$63.76
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$17.21
Will Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+30.9%+$23.6
Who will finish higher: Piastri or Russell?backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$15
Who will finish higher: Piastri or Verstappen?backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.35
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+292.1%+$44.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$139.01
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$214.96
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.79
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.74
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$423
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$329
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,503.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,390.38
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$268.71
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$263.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$434
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.