Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7876851632c295043c66536150a304cb785abdf712ba8489d298c6e6926be106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,019,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,642,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,019,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,364,315$181,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,652.24 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 3,214,571$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.15 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 2,205,574$22,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,718.26 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,907,784$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.76 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 1,605,724$12,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,445.79 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 1,491,285$16,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,713.19 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,412,613$14,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,427.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,374,721$12,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,372.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…b4f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…8988backed Yes | 1c | 964,460$9,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,644.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 1c | 909,091$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 899,004$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.9 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 845,695$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.19 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 1c | 834,000$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 0c | 819,497$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.23 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 633,622$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.08 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 1c | 631,818$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…902ebacked Yes | 1c | 600,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 578,700$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 573,451$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 0c | 552,243$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.49 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 0c | 550,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 1c | 510,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 0c | 510,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…39a9backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 1c | 459,091$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 1c | 427,273$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 424,997$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.98 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…7973backed Yes | 1c | 400,192$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…321cbacked Yes | 1c | 400,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 1c | 383,267$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.79 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 363,636$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 1c | 340,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…a030backed Yes | 1c | 332,486$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 1c | 300,500$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 1c | 300,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 1c | 292,742$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.72 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 289,998$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.11 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 1c | 283,027$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 280,103$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…6a78backed Yes | 1c | 274,485$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…913bbacked Yes | 1c | 266,667$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…5ab9backed Yes | 1c | 261,971$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 1c | 248,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…9176backed Yes | 1c | 227,273$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…09cebacked Yes | 1c | 215,865$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 0c | 209,741$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.38 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 194,730$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.03 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Yes | 1c | 192,098$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…1d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 188,889$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 1c | 180,294$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.86 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 1c | 177,600$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 175,000$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a212backed Yes | 0c | 166,520$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -89%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 165,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 162,000$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Yes | 1c | 152,101$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 0c | 151,270$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 1c | 149,647$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 1c | 144,444$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 1c | 140,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…fd35backed Yes | 1c | 136,845$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 132,472$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.58 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 1c | 121,500$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.84 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 1c | 116,730$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes | 1c | 115,536$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.9 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes | 1c | 111,100$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 1c | 111,073$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.4 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…33ffbacked Yes | 1c | 109,052$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…033abacked Yes | 1c | 107,579$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 1c | 107,543$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…a06bbacked Yes | 0c | 103,333$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…7172backed Yes | 1c | 103,071$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…ad5abacked Yes | 1c | 102,402$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.66 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…f754backed Yes | 1c | 100,356$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…c64bbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…53e5backed Yes | 1c | 99,621$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed Yes | 1c | 96,162$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 1c | 95,192$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…0d26backed Yes | 1c | 91,783$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 91,162$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.95 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed Yes | 1c | 90,911$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 1c | 90,909$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Yes | 1c | 90,404$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 1c | 88,888$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…3b60backed Yes | 1c | 87,991$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.9 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 86,529$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.43 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…b4f0backed Yes | 1c | 85,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…7f18backed Yes | 1c | 83,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 0c | 83,109$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…7c32backed Yes | 0c | 82,133$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.