Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,873,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,913,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,873,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,231,379$153,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,742.55 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 6c | 2,796,921$160,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…e553backed Yes | 6c | 2,040,879$121,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,008.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Yes | 5c | 1,487,240$79,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,346.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,001,980$52,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,520.8 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 5c | 994,198$53,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,586.7 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 5c | 863,759$45,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,202.08 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 857,347$46,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,300.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 6c | 855,237$49,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,691.71 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…3e00backed Yes | 6c | 793,669$49,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,104.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…7992backed Yes | 6c | 700,000$38,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,963.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 5c | 640,661$33,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,288.77 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 600,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 5c | 599,999$31,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,519.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes | 5c | 588,985$31,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,612.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 4c | 547,082$19,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,416.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 4c | 535,842$20,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,576.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 5c | 466,651$24,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,464.51 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 453,193$19,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,656.95 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 5c | 451,369$24,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,581.6 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…ba27backed Yes | 6c | 439,000$25,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,023 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes | 5c | 419,896$22,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,838.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 5c | 410,163$21,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,769.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…466cbacked Yes | 5c | 400,223$20,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,314.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 6c | 400,000$22,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,850 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Yes | 5c | 388,386$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 6c | 388,334$22,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,111.25 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked Yes | 6c | 387,667$21,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,321.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 366,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 5c | 359,650$19,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,027.04 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 6c | 350,877$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 5c | 350,000$18,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,350 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 5c | 349,709$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…2342backed Yes | 4c | 330,000$13,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,949.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…a59ebacked Yes | 4c | 322,568$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,450.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 5c | 312,904$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 5c | 311,992$15,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,140.66 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 4c | 308,000$12,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,258 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 5c | 295,625$15,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,356.14 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 5c | 290,000$13,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,080 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…674bbacked Yes | 5c | 288,462$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 6c | 283,676$15,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,705.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 5c | 283,023$15,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,388.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…bcc9backed Yes | 5c | 271,450$14,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,490.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 266,160$14,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,910.21 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 5c | 265,228$14,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,121.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 263,681$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.68 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 262,968$14,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,611.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 6c | 254,953$14,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,162.49 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…7364backed Yes | 5c | 250,452$13,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,524.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 5c | 250,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441c…429dbacked Yes | 4c | 239,461$9,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,714.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…dac5backed Yes | 5c | 235,903$10,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,680.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 5c | 234,189$11,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,981.08 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 5c | 231,957$12,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.84 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 227,437$13,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,157.08 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked Yes | 5c | 226,835$11,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,795.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 5c | 221,292$11,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,728.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 5c | 220,370$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 5c | 205,855$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 5c | 204,963$11,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,067.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 5c | 200,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed Yes | 5c | 198,650$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,574.8 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d030backed Yes | 5c | 190,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,070 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…2bb9backed Yes | 5c | 190,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…e04dbacked Yes | 5c | 188,457$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 4c | 186,464$8,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.64 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 5c | 185,185$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 5c | 185,000$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,230 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 184,614$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.66 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 5c | 179,577$9,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,338 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes | 6c | 178,837$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 177,836$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.43 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 5c | 177,182$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,656.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 5c | 177,009$9,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,696.31 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 175,067$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.87 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes | 5c | 173,583$9,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,265.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes | 5c | 173,077$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…321cbacked Yes | 5c | 170,000$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Yes | 6c | 168,955$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,456.87 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 5c | 165,430$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 164,241$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…7061backed Yes | 6c | 163,038$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,198.56 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 4c | 159,928$7,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.15 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 5c | 156,724$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.75 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +380.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 5c | 155,894$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,197.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d0…f48fbacked Yes | 6c | 155,780$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…87fcbacked Yes | 5c | 155,681$8,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…4498backed Yes | 5c | 150,188$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,986 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 4c | 150,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 6c | 147,915$8,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,354.79 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes | 5c | 147,500$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 5c | 143,526$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 3c | 140,029$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 6c | 136,739$8,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,072.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 5c | 132,759$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 6c | 132,000$7,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 3c | 127,347$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.44 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…fcaebacked Yes | 6c | 126,375$8,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,088 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 4c | 125,402$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.11 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.