TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,137,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,733,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,137,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c7,174,009$14,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,348.02395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c6,485,300$6,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,485.31529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c5,044,577$10,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,089.15306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c2,851,218$8,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,553.652015%3 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes0c2,803,529$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,607.063315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c2,729,511$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.5113122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes0c2,241,633$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes0c1,876,285$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.0216225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c1,784,057$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.0610012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes0c1,589,467$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.472711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c1,493,801$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.8248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes0c1,399,999$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c1,333,083$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.083215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c1,258,425$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.8932629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98a…edffbacked Yes0c1,251,774$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.771216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes0c1,202,654$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes0c1,200,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c1,095,247$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.25478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db3…8913backed Yes0c1,069,844$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c885,418$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.2660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c824,792$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133385.3%2 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes0c750,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003333.3%11 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes0c651,820$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.82248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c648,520$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.523710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes0c600,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c598,949$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03d…6da6backed Yes0c584,946$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Yes0c536,048$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.052931%9 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f5…42f7backed Yes0c508,906$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c499,759$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7626330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7053…013abacked Yes0c475,010$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes0c454,955$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.961010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe7…f4febacked Yes0c453,880$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c364,723$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.23352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936e…473fbacked Yes0c363,596$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.63046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c353,520$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.04260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d6…dddcbacked Yes0c321,366$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes0c309,460$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.853135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+334.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016335%57 W · 106 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c43…f964backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300205%1 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes0c298,537$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.541197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe298…6ea7backed Yes0c298,375$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…75fdbacked Yes0c267,200$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-82%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes0c263,000$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52690%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…59cebacked Yes0c255,553$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes0c250,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes0c241,439$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.442030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c225,000$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2579516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c200,520$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.52329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006322.2%14 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ea0…ae77backed Yes0c200,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c194,835$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.672917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5768…08fdbacked Yes0c183,486$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.97633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-56.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf12…327abacked Yes0c182,050$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.05616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c170,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes0c170,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703818.4%7 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd5…70d7backed Yes0c163,010$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes0c160,855$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.717230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70aa…6b20backed Yes0c152,270$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c149,894$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.79130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c130,496$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…56eabacked Yes0c130,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes0c113,000$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2269330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes0c111,610$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.176241.9%26 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c108,598$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.21705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes0c103,792$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…000ebacked Yes0c100,144$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ba…a9d1backed Yes0c100,063$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+287.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8902…566fbacked Yes0c100,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c7…14f3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…242cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100210%0 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b8c…24b1backed Yes0c98,620$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.24922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+220.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc065…f0d9backed Yes0c96,778$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116a…0956backed Yes0c96,405$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b58…fa45backed Yes0c95,101$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843e…ed6bbacked Yes0c90,607$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes0c90,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Yes0c86,390$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.393339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes0c83,766$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.