TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,473,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,073,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,473,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c13,127,828$13,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,174.551529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c4,378,718$8,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,724.53306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c2,744,925$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.92248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes0c2,192,572$8,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,271.573315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c1,814,904$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.913122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes0c1,750,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c1,721,167$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.1732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes0c1,500,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes0c1,449,692$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.436127.9%17 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c1,312,780$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.783710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1201…09acbacked Yes0c1,000,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e1…1f6abacked Yes0c968,790$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c677,563$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.5626330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c665,909$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes0c504,049$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.146464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Yes0c500,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f94…4ea1backed Yes0c492,222$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c466,416$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.832917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c421,032$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0332629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes0c356,667$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes0c340,243$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.243522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c261,326$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.33329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes0c250,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes0c236,167$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34429018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes0c221,000$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6635026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6c…596bbacked Yes0c220,578$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.585844.8%26 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked Yes0c207,036$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.04130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006322.2%14 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c199,996$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes0c185,545$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c168,784$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.359516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…b911backed Yes0c162,940$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.88812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc4…0cdbbacked Yes0c159,072$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes0c139,999$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Yes0c129,177$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.68100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7e…217bbacked Yes0c125,990$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c122,360$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.86719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes0c122,221$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59c…1635backed Yes0c120,523$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c108,888$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8910012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…b5b7backed Yes0c105,385$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.388626.7%23 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3285…05aebacked Yes0c104,998$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…bce3backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+287.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e1…3fa8backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce5…b6a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes0c92,585$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.173531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes0c92,000$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes0c90,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c5…74c6backed Yes0c87,715$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c79,635$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.63130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c75,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4604…56f1backed Yes0c75,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes0c75,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c72,000$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Yes0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a73…c046backed Yes0c66,837$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.841030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5e…a628backed Yes0c64,565$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c64,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8418510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c62,667$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes0c60,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608013.8%11 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4280…cb8cbacked Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes0c59,500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11945820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3df…208cbacked Yes0c59,333$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b62…25a1backed Yes0c56,600$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.66628.8%19 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2666…8db5backed Yes0c56,303$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.941513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c56,200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.35250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ea…b7cbbacked Yes0c54,950$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f7…abf2backed Yes0c52,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Yes0c51,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ac6…1b9dbacked Yes0c50,333$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes0c50,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-80.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…f4e2backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd81…0eaebacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3d…0a55backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006021.7%13 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2bc…b274backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9719…5965backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Yes0c50,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+45.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.