TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,265,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,444,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,265,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c10,097,454$10,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,098.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c2,992,659$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.329819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c2,141,095$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.09120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,518,303$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.3110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c1,410,946$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.893636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c999,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c596,251$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.251705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes0c444,444$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c443,997$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c334,654$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.65128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb9…2612backed Yes0c317,878$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf178…48a8backed Yes0c287,660$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.66150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…ef59backed Yes0c251,350$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb7…f8ebbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c157,057$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.062825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c147,960$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9212711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dd…17eebacked Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120254%1 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-87.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe4…2f61backed Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…9c64backed Yes0c106,310$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b61…9e16backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c99,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c99,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c99,998$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c99,010$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f01…d646backed Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2626…b763backed Yes0c87,410$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c79,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c71,580$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.66210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Yes0c52,775$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…991cbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e5…4c84backed Yes0c45,850$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f5…5ccabacked Yes0c45,643$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…85c8backed Yes0c45,594$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8087…0300backed Yes0c42,270$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ae…4b60backed Yes0c41,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-72.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8078backed Yes0c36,800$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c35,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc0…9babbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c8…ce87backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a0e8backed Yes0c27,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…76e6backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9a…a047backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…481abacked Yes0c22,673$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c20,086$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.17110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d28…5128backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…95a7backed Yes0c18,964$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…d7a5backed Yes0c18,202$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes0c18,032$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.06130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2091backed Yes0c17,652$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e01…0b89backed Yes0c17,493$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…2923backed Yes0c17,459$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…dd35backed Yes0c17,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bff…7291backed Yes0c15,822$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes0c15,712$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad0…2355backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3d…1c7abacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…6e1abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…ae7cbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15452.2%1 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-85%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf452…c0efbacked Yes0c14,900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9316.5%2 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2b…bc24backed Yes0c14,428$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-84.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…40fbbacked Yes0c13,900$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Yes0c13,333$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.676136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes0c12,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de6…f7afbacked Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Yes0c12,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d0…6003backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1150%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114512.4%18 W · 127 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ea…7d75backed Yes0c10,950$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1626…9e8dbacked Yes0c10,745$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…2401backed Yes0c10,598$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e4…2cd0backed Yes0c10,415$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f7…b677backed Yes0c10,150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c2…c3d6backed Yes0c10,012$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280%0 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ca…3739backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb423…37f8backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2f…fbbebacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5161…ea7fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105715.8%9 W · 48 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3261…da8cbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.