TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb36b…7804

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.84
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.81
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.6
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+525%+$504
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,017.53
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$464.95
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$60
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$255.18
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$371.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$316.3
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.27
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+595.9%+$32,101.62
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$841
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.75
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.88
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.43
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$704.35
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.94
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.06
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.61
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.01
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.73
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.25
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.51
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$94.56
Will Benjamin Rankin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Maxime Beaudoin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Adrienne Charles win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Maria Cantore win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.86
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,172.7%+$6,450
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,883.3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,011.44
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$980.63
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.7%+$4.46
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.2%+$13.3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$994.25
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-88.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$517.97
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$364.95
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$613.8
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89.46
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$5,434.93
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$827
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-85.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 5,000 and 5,500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.64
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$271
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$204
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-79.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.93
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+195.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belmont Bruins vs. Evansville Acesbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+25%+$2.96
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$309.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.