Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0c999b5c57732155a767e5a3830a86539c2eca8528cc5fef17e84e2acccbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $607,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 29c | 78,870$22,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,614.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 51,940$37,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560.96 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 28c | 51,727$14,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700.75 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 75c | 50,977$38,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,744.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 28c | 27,687$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752.17 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 73c | 24,919$18,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.25 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 68c | 23,195$15,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 71c | 12,982$9,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.07 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 12,754$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.27 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 25c | 10,653$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.27 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 10,104$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.86 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 9,605$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.32 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 9,312$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.79 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 32c | 9,105$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 27c | 9,001$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.26 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 9,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 31c | 8,884$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 77c | 8,300$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 25c | 8,040$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 25c | 8,000$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 23c | 7,920$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 33c | 7,363$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 4,895$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.9 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,882$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 68c | 4,786$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 69c | 4,704$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 4,325$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.83 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 28c | 4,000$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 34c | 3,517$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 32c | 3,508$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.51 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 3,283$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.51 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 3,084$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.38 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 46c | 3,028$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.56 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 34c | 2,969$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.94 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,746$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.21 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 27c | 2,720$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.39 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 2,720$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.98 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,505$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.61 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 76c | 2,320$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,098$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.01 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,918$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 31c | 1,791$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,788$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.12 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 72c | 1,773$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 37c | 1,496$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 61c | 1,451$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 24c | 1,399$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 25c | 1,328$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 50c | 1,215$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.45 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 23c | 1,197$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 33c | 1,152$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.52 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,103$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 26c | 1,018$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 31c | 901.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 28c | 900$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…12c5backed No | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 74c | 817.18$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 27c | 799.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…f2e3backed Yes | 79c | 743.18$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 70c | 718.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 700$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…b82dbacked Yes | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed No | 24c | 680.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 35c | 672.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 61c | 660$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 29c | 642.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 69c | 586.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 578.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 19c | 525$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe3…979ebacked Yes | 34c | 508.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 33c | 481.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 56c | 450$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…f286backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 78c | 413.59$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.