Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9090dcf89196884102aad6e5a09fd18ae2650b41c1986d1f5c0417652382e94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $954,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $950,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $954,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd820…19f6backed Yes | 42c | 822,228$344,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344,751.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 578,935$335,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,969.43 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 130,553$79,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,538.72 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 51c | 21,086$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,285.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 58c | 18,888$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 11,598$7,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 11,307$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.32 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 59c | 9,233$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.53 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 56c | 7,191$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 14c | 7,100$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 78c | 6,416$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 14c | 4,891$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.74 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 4,100$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 14c | 3,826$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 3,446$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.86 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,907$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 57c | 2,200$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 1,260$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,245$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,223$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 50c | 1,206$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.02 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 10c | 1,142$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…79eebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 999.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 63c | 976.54$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 939$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.45 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 40c | 929.23$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 42c | 862.22$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 851.23$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.39 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 69c | 819.8$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 701.86$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 59c | 667$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 13c | 657.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…6e17backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 37c | 617.13$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 14c | 604$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 555.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 14c | 490.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed No | 38c | 485$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 14c | 457.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 13c | 433.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 56c | 429.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 12c | 411.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed No | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 14c | 395.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed No | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 13c | 338.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 48c | 331.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 57c | 310$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 12c | 285.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 60c | 283.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 27c | 222.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 213$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 210$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +264.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…913abacked No | 30c | 196.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 39c | 192.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 182.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 58c | 181.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Yes | 22c | 175.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 14c | 174.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Yes | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 11c | 160.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed No | 51c | 156.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes | 13c | 154.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…ae9cbacked Yes | 78c | 153$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 14c | 134.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 24c | 128.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…8bacbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 80c | 125.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed No | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 124.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 25c | 121.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.