TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c17,731$13,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.9684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c6,399$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.852,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes33c5,960$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9721020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c4,804$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.3744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c4,591$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.443,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c4,073$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c3,413$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.1376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes30c2,100$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes17c1,929$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c669$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.224353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes28c665$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+100.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes18c612.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3513920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes19c530$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.72334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No72c350.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.596330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x703c…ae21backed Yes17c310$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes17c307.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.160%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes25c271.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes24c250.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes17c223.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c220.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.610537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fe…20a0backed Yes16c199.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes18c198.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No45c189.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.513625%9 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b09…e4c2backed Yes54c185.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c168.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c144$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3636136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No78c137.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes22c134.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e1…e114backed Yes30c116.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6936…be97backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes13c98.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c88.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.614241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b0…f53dbacked Yes19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…30a2backed Yes19c76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc8…c7eabacked Yes19c71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No47c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3207…3202backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c68…26cbbacked Yes19c68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…b970backed Yes19c67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed No73c62.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes23c62.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147528%21 W · 54 L-9.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Yes51c60.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707f…2260backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes24c53.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7820047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes50c51.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98cb…0b59backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes57c47.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.417364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd746…4266backed No69c47.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No78c47.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7413040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes41c43.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No52c43.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.483652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c42.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No75c30.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.745026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No77c30.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No80c29.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.814580%36 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c26.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Yes49c25.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced5…71c2backed Yes52c20.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3338…8591backed Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed No72c17.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No71c15.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.455846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed No73c14.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.