TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35fe…20a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,098Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$2,739.78
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,545Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,463.28
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$221.07
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+71%+$89.36
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,594.03
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$854.51
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.89
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.89
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$6,632.16
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.68
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,299.78
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$785.01
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$77.32
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$93.94
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,565.02
Will Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$83.35
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,060
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$895.58
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$62.68
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$85.91
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$97.22
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$68.06
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+170.3%+$186.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,798.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$905.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$387.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$162.07
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,505.81
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+203%+$1,171.78
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$882.13
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,462.46
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$845.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+30%+$249.52
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$421.7
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+525%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.6
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,150%+$662.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$153.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,066Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4,111.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$488.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$463.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.