NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe27314abed3ee02d34879131f9cb58ac6ae8cf99d554f8d3787f7e5891136bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Bulls, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,613,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,651,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Bulls | 34c | 115,943$39,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,452.64 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.96 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 39c | 85,373$33,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,295.39 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 63c | 62,057$38,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,066.34 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 37c | 54,415$20,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,114.96 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bulls | 35c | 49,463$17,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,152.77 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 64c | 46,124$29,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,592.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 24c | 43,227$10,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,192.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 36c | 37,224$13,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,407.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bulls | 35c | 31,761$10,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,998.65 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Bulls | 33c | 27,774$9,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,165.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 39c | 25,000$9,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,866.17 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Heat | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 63c | 23,223$14,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,516.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Bulls | 35c | 21,700$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed Heat | 65c | 21,700$14,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 1c | 20,121$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heat | 63c | 16,136$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.79 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 63c | 16,134$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Heat | 60c | 16,000$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,454 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bulls | 40c | 16,000$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.97 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 64c | 15,185$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 72c | 12,179$8,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.06 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bulls | 35c | 11,531$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.82 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Heat | 65c | 11,480$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.41 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 33c | 10,808$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Heat | 64c | 10,563$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.73 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Heat | 66c | 10,350$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.6 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Heat | 65c | 9,628$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.71 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bulls | 41c | 9,449$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.2 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 61c | 8,196$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.41 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 38c | 7,801$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.5 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 61c | 7,711$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.48 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Heat | 65c | 7,627$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 34c | 7,474$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.28 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Heat | 63c | 7,357$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 68c | 7,346$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…ef1abacked Heat | 58c | 7,229$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 62c | 6,976$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat | 66c | 6,889$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.76 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 62c | 5,864$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.37 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Bulls | 36c | 5,857$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.01 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 77c | 5,438$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Bulls | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls | 1c | 5,207$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Bulls | 10c | 5,150$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Heat | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Bulls | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Heat | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b95fbacked Bulls | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Bulls | 38c | 4,942$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Bulls | 39c | 4,913$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.06 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Heat | 65c | 4,613$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.63 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Bulls | 37c | 4,591$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.71 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 65c | 4,553$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.39 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…f772backed Heat | 61c | 4,503$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 58c | 4,496$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.46 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…a667backed Bulls | 39c | 4,495$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…95dbbacked Bulls | 34c | 4,259$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls | 35c | 4,198$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.47 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 77c | 4,127$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.09 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 38c | 4,104$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 1c | 3,910$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Heat | 66c | 3,872$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.97 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 36c | 3,778$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bulls | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat | 64c | 3,687$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.48 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcd…c3d4backed Heat | 59c | 3,633$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26c…278dbacked Bulls | 41c | 3,625$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Bulls | 30c | 3,312$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 65c | 3,253$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 61c | 3,167$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Bulls | 10c | 3,097$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 27%27 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bulls | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…d15ebacked Bulls | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Heat | 64c | 2,950$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…007cbacked Heat | 61c | 2,900$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Bulls | 41c | 2,873$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.73 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Bulls | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Bulls | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…bca3backed Bulls | 40c | 2,774$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 65c | 2,770$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.59 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 30c | 2,770$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c090backed Bulls | 39c | 2,675$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Bulls | 5c | 2,675$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bulls | 36c | 2,639$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Bulls | 3c | 2,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…6c17backed Heat | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Heat | 61c | 2,487$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.89 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 64c | 2,404$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bulls | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 62c | 2,283$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.27 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Bulls | 5c | 2,120$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls | 38c | 2,104$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Heatthis page
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.