NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9c59870c2732bdf8595865b9306afaf863d642ad783cfc75b16ab3097e2ee7

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Bulls
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $578,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $581,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,577 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	53c	252,821$133,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,936.6	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bulls	47c	173,534$82,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,296.25	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls	47c	84,065$39,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,510.61	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,000	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Bulls	49c	60,000$29,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,399.97	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Heat	51c	51,393$26,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,182.44	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls	52c	25,471$13,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,126.71	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	49c	20,864$10,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,630.2	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls	53c	20,000$10,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,558.98	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,399.99	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	50c	15,703$7,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,854.34	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	49c	13,204$6,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,681.46	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bulls	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Heat	49c	11,607$5,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,919.57	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	49c	8,823$4,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls	49c	8,075$3,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,966.56	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Heat	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.31	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls	50c	6,500$3,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,247.58	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Heat	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,882.35	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	50c	5,245$2,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.83	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Heat	51c	4,500$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,220	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls	49c	4,425$2,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,167.47	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	50c	3,001$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.59	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls	51c	2,157$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Heat	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Heat	50c	1,975$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.6	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Heat	48c	1,724$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.25	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls	51c	1,581$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.28	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls	49c	1,300$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.37	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Bulls	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	51c	1,154$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.29	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Heat	50c	1,004$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502	430	52.3%225 W · 205 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Heat	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Bulls	50c	750$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.9	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Bulls	50c	720$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Bulls	49c	717.43$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.54	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Bulls	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Bulls	51c	593.41$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.64	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Bulls	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Heat	51c	513.92$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.82	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Bulls	51c	505.05$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.58	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Heat	52c	441.07$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.71	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Bulls	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Heat	51c	365.79$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.46	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Bulls	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Bulls	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Heat	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls	51c	294.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Bulls	51c	255.92$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.52	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Heat	49c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Bulls	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Heat	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Bulls	51c	199.69$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.84	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Heat	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Heat	51c	180.2$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.3	108	56.5%61 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Bulls	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Bulls	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Bulls	49c	154.5$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.33	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Heat	51c	152.09$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.52	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls	48c	133.75$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.54	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Bulls	51c	130.2$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Bulls	51c	124.73$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.61	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls	49c	122.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Bulls	51c	120.31$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Bulls	51c	120$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls	47c	112.64$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Heat	51c	104.9$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.22	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Bulls	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Bulls	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Bulls	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	53c	86.5$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.65	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6721…d75bbacked Heat	49c	85$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Bulls	51c	77.02$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.28	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Bulls	51c	70.12$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Heat	51c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat	50c	67.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Heat	54c	65.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Bulls	51c	63.53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Heat	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Heat	51c	58.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.83	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Heat	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Bulls	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	327	43.4%142 W · 185 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Bulls	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Bulls	51c	54.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.62	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Heat	48c	53.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Heat	51c	52.31$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.63	177	50.8%90 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…ff9cbacked Heat	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Bulls	53c	48.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Heat	52c	48.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.17	326	54.3%177 W · 149 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Bulls	51c	47.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	206	41.7%86 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Bulls	49c	43.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Heat	48c	40.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Bulls	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	162	30.9%50 W · 112 L	-9.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Heat	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Heat	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	116	44%51 W · 65 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Bulls	51c	39.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event