TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6a1…7066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+73.8%+$33.2
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.86
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$49.3
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+111.7%+$22.33
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+77.7%+$59.6
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$60
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.04
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.92
North Dakota State Bison vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Washington Huskies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+118.5%+$47.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.37
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.3%+$18.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.