Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7f519c78ab0f29bea7503ead662c14e79b04810143205d8a9e171fd95e4be71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 63c | 70,000$44,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,911.32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 15,819$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 4c | 9,904$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.56 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 8,836$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 63c | 6,942$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.37 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 6,193$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 5,370$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.87 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,064$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 3,748$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,086$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.93 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 913.98$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.59 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 785$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed No | 63c | 772.44$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 37c | 612.93$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 478$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 23c | 278.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 37c | 271.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 270$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 211.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 37c | 204.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 37c | 198.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 179$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…7d67backed Yes | 37c | 168.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 39c | 129.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…6112backed No | 64c | 81.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 36c | 74.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 37c | 73.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes | 37c | 49.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 46.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Yes | 37c | 39.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…11d5backed Yes | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Yes | 37c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…6adcbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…32ccbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…ef5fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…a8cebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…3bd5backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.