Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a598a1b657e6d0cd2abf3f0b32e634d42c9d043867ff080d4a531b2713bce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 34c | 7,886$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 4,706$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 1,724$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 527.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 497.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.48 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 34c | 301$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 66c | 291$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 34c | 204$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 113.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 97.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 83.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 66c | 64.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 38c | 30.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.