TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,778,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,215,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,778,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,079 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Kings51c213,632$109,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,985.73875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers49c212,648$103,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,521.2156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings55c194,040$107,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,480.881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings52c187,659$97,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,594.2319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Flyers48c130,000$62,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,40067051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Kings52c129,519$67,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,170.945352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Flyers48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0008657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Flyers39c94,680$37,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,290.8811052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48dc…152bbacked Kings50c32,584$16,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,291.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Flyers48c28,840$13,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,98648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Flyers50c26,996$13,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,497.8322550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…66ebbacked Flyers50c18,700$9,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4c…8419backed Kings50c18,700$9,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Flyers52c17,969$9,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,343.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers48c17,498$8,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,398.971,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a2…6626backed Flyers50c17,428$8,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,713.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…28e9backed Flyers50c16,568$8,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,283.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers49c14,795$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.5661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings41c14,507$5,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,627.82,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings50c14,025$7,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,955.221,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Flyers48c11,558$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.8426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kings52c11,550$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,54415145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Kings52c11,538$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.468848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Flyers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9003243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers49c9,434$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,622.6679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings49c9,364$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,731.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings51c8,824$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.5350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings50c8,247$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,123.6561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings52c8,090$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.541,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Flyers49c7,746$3,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.5893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Flyers49c6,764$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.5336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings38c6,206$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.4489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings47c5,422$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.2839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e1f…5445backed Kings50c5,340$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…5970backed Flyers49c5,226$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers49c5,049$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47415949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Flyers20c5,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings51c4,990$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings52c4,958$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.5941248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Kings47c4,813$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.752147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d8…a0acbacked Flyers49c4,769$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…f1d8backed Kings50c4,656$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Kings52c4,101$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31d…0586backed Flyers48c4,100$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Kings48c4,025$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings49c4,013$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.411,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Kings52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Flyers48c4,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93010848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Kings51c3,748$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.695242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings50c3,721$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.5326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c23…2890backed Flyers48c3,700$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Kings52c3,700$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings51c3,363$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.8486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Flyers49c3,243$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.2114753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Flyers51c3,100$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5812433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flyers48c3,080$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.452,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6231550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers48c2,856$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37033243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings58c2,749$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.2285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Flyers49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22522747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Flyers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings4c2,500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4002174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Flyers47c2,341$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.17347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers48c2,239$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.1191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings44c2,211$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.661,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings58c2,159$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Flyers48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0081952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Flyers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Flyers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings51c1,970$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.344551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Flyers52c1,883$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Kings79c1,766$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.792653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings51c1,762$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.2247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers41c1,718$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.283,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Flyers49c1,622$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Kings52c1,539$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.648664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e1a…f570backed Flyers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Flyers49c1,488$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.6416254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Kings51c1,486$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.213842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1063…18e1backed Flyers2c1,459$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Flyers64c1,338$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.539562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Flyers24c1,333$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…a1a0backed Kings52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Kings48c1,251$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.0611950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Flyers49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Flyers48c1,213$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.111,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings50c1,200$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers47c1,154$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.451,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cc…9013backed Flyers51c1,125$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a02…2d60backed Kings51c1,119$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9d…d03dbacked Flyers50c1,099$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kings52c1,041$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6842847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings48c1,041$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.91,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers48c1,038$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.481,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings73c1,012$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.342,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.