TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9023…15cbbacked Over52c6,386$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a15…5e14backed Under48c6,298$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c6,205$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.222,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e7…995ebacked Over51c3,537$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…5582backed Under49c3,497$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae8…f254backed Under49c3,297$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043b…9c47backed Over51c3,246$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c2,598$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.7293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18c…08edbacked Under48c2,566$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dff…dff6backed Over52c2,549$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…952dbacked Over51c2,438$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…8a09backed Under49c2,406$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5f…b153backed Under48c2,125$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a2…c4eabacked Over52c2,121$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…c06fbacked Over51c2,055$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…e11bbacked Under49c1,945$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90af…821fbacked Over52c1,521$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4757…5eaebacked Under48c1,507$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b64…8f6ebacked Under49c1,309$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263e…e75dbacked Over51c1,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over50c1,144$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2133345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c695$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c577.25$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.641,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c576$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c560.13$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.573,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under65c526.17$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over62c520$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.642254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under38c510$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over53c507$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9630349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf8…372bbacked Under48c457.3$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c431.08$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.231,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c408.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1432650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ace…978abacked Over52c375.68$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c324.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over38c250$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over50c200.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3915349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fc…2d72backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c174.01$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over50c159.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2612859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c122.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4378651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Over54c102.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.952917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5091653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.842558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over75c67.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.842630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over68c67.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.121,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c56.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.431,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c42.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6113954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under44c41.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2274054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7822655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under47c32.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.155939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c31.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.292,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c30.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2726243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba53…7af1backed Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c29.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.868555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c27.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.691,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6e…f9e8backed Over50c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff6…1a0fbacked Over50c20.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbc…ca48backed Over50c20.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde60…f044backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.