NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b48472b5858888eb0651a927f94c9ff2049fc066457111c4b684907a057eb84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Kings, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cf7…9a82backed Kings | 29c | 3,701$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…55c8backed Flyers | 71c | 3,651$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…9f83backed Kings | 29c | 2,890$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…0367backed Flyers | 71c | 2,834$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…3125backed Flyers | 71c | 2,011$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…ce31backed Kings | 29c | 1,978$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd6…55eebacked Kings | 29c | 1,943$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…6109backed Flyers | 71c | 1,933$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…1f4ebacked Flyers | 71c | 1,775$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…f007backed Kings | 29c | 1,705$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…8125backed Kings | 29c | 1,579$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…61e2backed Flyers | 71c | 1,570$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…5774backed Flyers | 71c | 1,518$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…85c5backed Kings | 29c | 1,315$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…ddfcbacked Flyers | 71c | 1,189$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…88e9backed Kings | 29c | 1,184$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…b020backed Kings | 29c | 999.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…902cbacked Flyers | 71c | 750.17$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 38c | 502.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…506fbacked Flyers | 71c | 467.39$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cb8backed Kings | 29c | 405$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Flyers | 71c | 350.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 70c | 348.64$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 63c | 332.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 30c | 247$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kings | 28c | 164$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Kings | 40c | 151.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Flyers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Flyers | 71c | 84.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Flyers | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Flyers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Kings | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Flyers | 68c | 47.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Kings | 32c | 47.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Flyers | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. FlyersKings won
- Kings vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.