TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24fc…2d72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Moura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Szalay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$180.9
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$64.26
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Freeman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+161%+$240.6
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.2%+$10.89
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.83
Australian Open Women's: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69.3
Australian Open Men's: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$97.99
Davante Adams: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$70
1H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$67.47
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$149.96
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79.18
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-14.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.