NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf687e574ff1da062af9c1628df1bf8c998f8064198978e788844946aae15baaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,834,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,136,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,834,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 56c | 512,302$285,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285,748.02 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 44c | 256,675$113,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,248.33 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 45c | 195,239$87,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,381.57 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Warriors | 56c | 178,571$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.74 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Warriors | 56c | 113,664$63,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,652.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 44c | 105,642$46,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,952.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pistons | 45c | 100,760$45,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,525.53 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Warriors | 56c | 99,893$55,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,940.36 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 43c | 64,480$27,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,546.57 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 20c | 59,299$11,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,732.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Pistons | 44c | 53,841$23,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,150.91 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 14c | 51,859$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons | 57c | 49,708$28,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,391.73 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Pistons | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Pistons | 46c | 43,000$19,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,280 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Pistons | 55c | 41,169$22,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,541.74 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 46c | 40,032$18,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,484.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,399.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 44c | 37,302$16,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,900.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 30c | 37,070$11,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,306.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 55c | 34,574$19,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,178.84 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…e9b6backed Pistons | 43c | 33,475$14,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,080.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 14c | 32,752$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.5 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 44c | 31,267$13,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,505.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 44c | 28,347$12,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,006.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Warriors | 18c | 27,869$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 36c | 26,520$9,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,660.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Pistons | 45c | 26,000$11,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,330 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.91 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 22c | 24,610$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 17c | 24,273$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.58 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 71c | 24,203$17,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,963.65 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 44c | 23,712$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,212.12 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Warriors | 47c | 21,700$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Pistons | 53c | 21,700$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Warriors | 56c | 20,187$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,304.47 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pistons | 44c | 20,096$8,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,155 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.92 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 44c | 19,600$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,976.26 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 33c | 17,892$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.1 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 7c | 17,257$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.13 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pistons | 47c | 16,665$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,776.88 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Warriors | 55c | 16,571$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,114.28 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Pistons | 45c | 16,400$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,020.01 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Pistons | 69c | 16,394$11,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.53 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Warriors | 35c | 15,102$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.8 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 15,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Pistons | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Pistons | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Warriors | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Warriors | 0c | 14,720$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Warriors | 36c | 14,637$5,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 53c | 14,579$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 29c | 12,295$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 52c | 12,267$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.32 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Warriors | 30c | 10,236$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.18 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Warriors | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pistons | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pistons | 45c | 9,710$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.65 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 29c | 9,586$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.28 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 9,050$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Pistons | 77c | 9,005$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.85 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 56c | 9,000$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pistons | 66c | 8,593$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.77 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pistons | 44c | 8,200$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.98 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Warriors | 35c | 8,162$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Warriors | 55c | 8,046$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 19c | 7,955$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.61 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Pistons | 43c | 7,612$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Warriors | 40c | 7,513$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pistons | 43c | 7,442$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.86 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Warriors | 57c | 7,382$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Pistons | 79c | 7,000$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pistons | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 45c | 7,000$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pistons | 43c | 6,977$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 46c | 6,903$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.56 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Pistons | 46c | 6,838$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.8 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 56c | 6,799$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.44 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 18c | 6,521$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 55c | 6,169$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 71c | 6,095$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.79 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pistons | 43c | 5,971$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.47 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Pistons | 44c | 5,784$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.95 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…9530backed Warriors | 57c | 5,760$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 45c | 5,600$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 56c | 5,522$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.4 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…2481backed Warriors | 55c | 5,501$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Pistons | 45c | 5,445$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.78 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Pistons | 43c | 5,306$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…1a76backed Pistons | 43c | 5,281$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 40c | 5,160$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…fdd0backed Warriors | 57c | 5,073$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Warriors | 24c | 5,029$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Pistons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…2a16backed Warriors | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.