NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb69957cd862c417c978da9d84cf68a626752ac92ddba5b55cab3cd09308189c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,149.92 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 49c | 18,387$9,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,377.22 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 11,692$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 10,529$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.89 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 6,874$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.99 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 47c | 5,475$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.02 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 5,421$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.1 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 5,102$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.1 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 48c | 4,476$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.66 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 4,409$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.56 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 47c | 4,217$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.02 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…f0afbacked Under | 52c | 2,735$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 1,676$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.94 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,493$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,379$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,200$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 957.31$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 664$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 573.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 47c | 504.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 498.66$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 323.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 307.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 47c | 291.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 246.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 51c | 197.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 189$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 54c | 166.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 89.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 43c | 74.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 73.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 57c | 69.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 51c | 68.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 62.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 51c | 61.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 52c | 60.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 44.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 41.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…7581backed Over | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 52c | 33.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 31.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…da92backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 53c | 25.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 25.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. WarriorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.