NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56072b0fdce04761d76e990f3f7e3da70b0980a640f6a594088f393818ba082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Warriors, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 340,904$169,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,771.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 50c | 107,082$53,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,540.95 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pistons | 50c | 99,833$49,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,916.51 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 51c | 29,980$15,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,690.2 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 50c | 26,000$13,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,940 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 50c | 20,519$10,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,238.52 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pistons | 50c | 19,912$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,956 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Pistons | 51c | 19,522$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,565.78 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 50c | 18,866$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,387.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pistons | 50c | 14,996$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.02 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 11,667$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Pistons | 52c | 11,388$5,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pistons | 50c | 5,780$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.96 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pistons | 51c | 5,552$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.61 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 4,033$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors | 54c | 3,716$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.86 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pistons | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Warriors | 50c | 2,728$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…be88backed Warriors | 49c | 2,568$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons | 51c | 2,510$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.8 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pistons | 51c | 2,373$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.55 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…e11ebacked Pistons | 51c | 2,154$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…d798backed Pistons | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.03 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…4655backed Warriors | 49c | 1,678$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.98 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Pistons | 50c | 1,441$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.42 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,415$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Pistons | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.73 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,130$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 49c | 1,003$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…717cbacked Warriors | 50c | 906$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Pistons | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.92 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Warriors | 50c | 487.52$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 53c | 475.26$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pistons | 51c | 447.22$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Warriors | 43c | 374.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pistons | 51c | 352.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pistons | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Pistons | 49c | 287.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Pistons | 51c | 284.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Pistons | 54c | 253.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 49c | 251.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pistons | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 6c | 242.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Warriors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…e640backed Pistons | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Warriors | 51c | 192.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Pistons | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 49c | 164.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons | 51c | 153.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…479fbacked Warriors | 52c | 149.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Pistons | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Pistons | 52c | 106.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons | 47c | 102.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Warriors | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Warriors | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 71c | 82.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Warriors | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Warriors | 34c | 79.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Warriors | 49c | 77.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Warriors | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Pistons | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Pistons | 48c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 50c | 61.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Pistons | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pistons | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Pistons | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Warriors | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Pistons | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Warriors | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Pistons | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Pistons | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Pistons | 50c | 42.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 50c | 41.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Warriors | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. WarriorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.