NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70eeacfd429006e7f203f7166e2767e32ae07f80be19e216973e206b9cfeebbb

Rebuilt 53 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $176,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $177,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over	51c	80,000$40,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,199.91	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under	51c	25,000$12,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,749.95	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	48c	22,572$10,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,774.2	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	18,779$9,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,137.35	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	49c	16,237$7,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,298.91	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under	48c	12,924$6,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,203.52	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	9,557$4,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,685.36	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,840	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	53c	6,623$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,112.64	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	51c	6,125$3,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,001.25	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…24f9backed Under	49c	5,999$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.51	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	5,914$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,884.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under	49c	5,510$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under	49c	5,116$2,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.04	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over	49c	3,469$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.39	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	49c	2,304$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.95	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	49c	2,005$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.35	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	49c	1,691$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.59	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	52c	1,475$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.91	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	50c	1,380$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	9c	1,294$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.08	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	52c	1,013$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.46	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	47c	961.65$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.45	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under	49c	840$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.6	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	824.82$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.41	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	693.31$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.79	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over	50c	601.38$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	52c	562.8$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.66	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	46c	555$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.3	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	49c	552$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.48	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over	79c	530.73$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.12	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	32c	498.14$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.51	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over	52c	491$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.68	394	49.2%194 W · 200 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	48c	451$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.79	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	5c	332.18$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under	49c	300.72$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.35	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	49c	272.79$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.67	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	52c	240.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.38	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Over	51c	237.92$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.58	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	28c	228.59$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.97	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	47c	225.2$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	53c	213.08$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.15	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	52c	207$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	195.47$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.78	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over	51c	195.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.65	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under	49c	192.39$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.78	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	52c	190.38$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.38	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	50c	144$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	52c	125$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	49c	119.3$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.54	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	48c	110.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.18	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	51c	102.92$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.43	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under	18c	99.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	49c	93.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over	72c	86.76$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.56	137	49.6%68 W · 69 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under	50c	74$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	52c	74$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.52	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	50c	72.26$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.28	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under	15c	70.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over	52c	66.13$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.74	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over	51c	60.97$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	49c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.59	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over	53c	47.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.12	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Over	52c	44.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.19	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under	49c	40.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dc…4e57backed Over	52c	40.38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	47c	39.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	51c	33.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over	51c	33.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Over	49c	30.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.57	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over	54c	29.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	292	47.9%140 W · 152 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	50c	28.86$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.43	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	51c	28.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.13	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over	52c	28.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Over	52c	25.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	49c	25.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.94	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under	50c	24.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked Over	52c	22.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Moses Moody: Points O/U 11.5No won
Pistons vs. WarriorsPistons won
Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event