NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc69b58f9e0912a99f5bd9d99f054488dd818334db72eb40bade813651c45090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Warriors, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 47c | 9,640$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 46c | 8,285$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 53c | 8,088$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 53c | 7,870$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 47c | 6,413$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 52c | 2,821$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 47c | 2,396$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.88 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 57c | 2,031$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,969$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Pistons | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,701$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.63 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Warriors | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 46c | 1,474$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 54c | 1,469$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pistons | 46c | 965.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.22 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 46c | 945.22$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.42 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 53c | 902.19$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Pistons | 49c | 776.43$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 33c | 771.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Warriors | 55c | 736.13$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.87 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors | 53c | 567$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Warriors | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 69c | 406.14$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Warriors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Warriors | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Warriors | 26c | 305.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 61c | 302.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 54c | 273.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 53c | 259.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Pistons | 47c | 217.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Warriors | 46c | 195.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors | 54c | 194.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked Warriors | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors | 54c | 176.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 46c | 165.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 67c | 154.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Warriors | 54c | 154.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 46c | 149.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Warriors | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pistons | 46c | 140.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Warriors | 54c | 110.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…25e3backed Warriors | 19c | 102.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Pistons | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 71c | 99.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…bb4ebacked Warriors | 54c | 91.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Warriors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pistons | 63c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pistons | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Warriors | 53c | 70.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Pistons | 73c | 67.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Warriors | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Warriors | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…5e28backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors | 54c | 52.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Warriors | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors | 53c | 48.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Warriors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Warriors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 42c | 44.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…88a3backed Pistons | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Pistons | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Warriors | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Warriors | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Warriors | 54c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pistons | 50c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Pistons | 48c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Warriors | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Pistons | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Pistons | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Pistons | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Warriors | 53c | 29.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pistons | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ed0fbacked Warriors | 54c | 27.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Pistons | 47c | 27.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…807cbacked Pistons | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. WarriorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.