TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Warriors, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons47c9,640$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.842,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons46c8,285$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,445.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors53c8,088$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors53c7,870$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons47c6,413$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Warriors54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors52c2,821$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons47c2,396$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.881,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons57c2,031$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Warriors51c1,969$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Pistons49c1,969$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Warriors54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Warriors53c1,701$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.6364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Warriors54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons46c1,474$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.9657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors54c1,469$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.3638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Pistons46c965.22$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons46c945.22$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.422,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors53c902.19$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Pistons49c776.43$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9812540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors33c771.54$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Warriors55c736.13$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors53c567$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Warriors55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons69c406.14$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Warriors54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Warriors50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Warriors26c305.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.939736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons61c302.26$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Warriors54c273.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6121645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors53c259.91$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.752,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Pistons47c217.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.414351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Warriors46c195.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors54c194.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9235747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…461ebacked Warriors54c183.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors54c176.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2540346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons46c165.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons67c154.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Warriors54c154.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9626043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons46c149.13$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Warriors54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pistons46c140.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.081,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons47c127.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Warriors54c110.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9112143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…25e3backed Warriors19c102.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Pistons75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons71c99.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf4…bb4ebacked Warriors54c91.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Warriors55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pistons44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pistons63c76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pistons70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Warriors53c70.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4643244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons47c70.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Pistons73c67.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-81.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Warriors54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Warriors36c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Warriors54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9c3…5e28backed Warriors54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors54c52.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5748451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Warriors54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275855.2%32 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors53c48.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab15…d4a4backed Warriors54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Warriors54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors42c44.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c1…88a3backed Pistons47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Pistons48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Warriors45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.847045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Warriors54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Warriors54c37.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Pistons50c34.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Pistons48c31.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4219242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Warriors54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Pistons64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2519649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Pistons50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Pistons48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Warriors53c29.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7550841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Pistons48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a50…ed0fbacked Warriors54c27.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Pistons47c27.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.453151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Warriors54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffcf…ec0ebacked Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ff…807cbacked Pistons68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.