TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a24…be88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$70.18
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,223.19
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.21
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$81.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$172.08
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.5
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$48.34
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.09
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,258.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$70.24
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$73.18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$58.54
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$67.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.7
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$144.44
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.11
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$93.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.54
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.14
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$16.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$100.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.