TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks44c120,275$53,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,773.6172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs55c91,186$50,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,072.8664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks46c56,264$25,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,382.7218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs53c41,503$21,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,852.4685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs56c31,250$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs54c21,000$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,34010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs54c13,423$7,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,248.4248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks46c10,214$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.0510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks45c7,261$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Spurs58c6,729$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.562343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Spurs3c5,349$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.822429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Spurs54c4,699$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.232050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks45c4,593$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.1455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks42c4,438$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.0756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Spurs55c4,108$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.371764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks46c4,016$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.511447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs54c3,635$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.0817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs55c3,351$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks43c3,161$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.751,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Knicks47c2,850$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.510447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Knicks46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4e…3d91backed Spurs54c2,551$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.755050%25 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks46c2,508$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks46c2,396$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.061,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks47c2,234$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.022,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs52c2,011$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.9389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Spurs54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Spurs54c1,822$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs52c1,705$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.15937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks65c1,656$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.8919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks59c1,612$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.8553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Spurs54c1,581$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Spurs54c1,526$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8301973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks76c1,453$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks46c1,440$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.1366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks44c1,415$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.6126753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0c…c1f2backed Knicks45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks46c1,029$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs54c1,028$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks44c1,000$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.932,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Spurs54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Spurs54c992.41$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Knicks41c976$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Spurs47c921.8$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.252846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks45c868.86$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks58c864.8$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs28c832.74$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.361,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks46c812$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Knicks49c667.37$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Knicks45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3248355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Knicks45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks47c575.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs51c566.24$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks45c542.46$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3915246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Spurs54c537.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4215649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks45c520$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Spurs54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Spurs60c499.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8727052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Spurs55c492.75$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks45c479.69$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…5737backed Spurs54c475.74$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs9c474.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Knicks53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.72951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks40c455.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.415349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs54c453.87$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…e350backed Spurs54c453.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.951741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Knicks47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.539652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…137dbacked Spurs54c410.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Spurs55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030242.1%127 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs54c358.59$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Spurs54c355.56$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee2…256dbacked Spurs54c348.81$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.361283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+78.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6911…9996backed Spurs54c339.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks44c337.72$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.124,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs3c336$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs54c333$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d9…659cbacked Knicks45c324.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Knicks47c301.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…8decbacked Knicks45c284.18$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Knicks50c262.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Knicks45c234.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.934050%20 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcada…f2a3backed Knicks46c213.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Knicks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7714951.7%77 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks67c212.27$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.054946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Knicks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.