NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd513aa919683eff64d6c55d1aa66db2d22ecea177677b41b9551de8096840c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 42c | 5,442$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Spurs | 59c | 2,552$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks | 46c | 2,498$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.92 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Spurs | 56c | 2,299$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.71 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…c237backed Spurs | 56c | 1,942$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.1 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Knicks | 45c | 1,788$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.69 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Spurs | 59c | 1,105$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks | 48c | 929.38$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.85 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Knicks | 43c | 920$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 53c | 716.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…94ccbacked Spurs | 56c | 599.45$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…7f60backed Spurs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Spurs | 56c | 508.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Knicks | 44c | 490.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Spurs | 53c | 451.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Spurs | 52c | 371.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Spurs | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Spurs | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Spurs | 56c | 232.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Knicks | 49c | 202.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Knicks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Spurs | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Knicks | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Knicks | 44c | 152.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Knicks | 44c | 134$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Knicks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Spurs | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 56c | 98.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Spurs | 56c | 88.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 44c | 88.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks | 45c | 71.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 54c | 71.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…6d5abacked Spurs | 57c | 58.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Knicks | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 47c | 52.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Knicks | 44c | 45.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…e56bbacked Spurs | 53c | 41.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 58c | 39.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks | 42c | 39.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 44c | 39.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Spurs | 53c | 38.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Knicks | 43c | 38.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…7ca6backed Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Spurs | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Spurs | 56c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Spurs | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Knicks | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…7d24backed Spurs | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Knicks | 45c | 24.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Knicks | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…d6e3backed Spurs | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.