TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,918 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under49c4,937$2,400 inWon+$2,537.2420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c2,513$1,281 inLost-$1,281.382,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,407$732 inLost-$731.722,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c979.46$504 inLost-$504.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over55c300$165 inLost-$1659438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over56c108$60 inLost-$60.481573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88d2…5517backed Over56c100$56 inLost-$562240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Over54c90.43$49 inLost-$48.833148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over55c36.25$20 inLost-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…31e5backed Over55c35.63$20 inLost-$19.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c30$14 inWon+$16.51,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8c…51c5backed Over56c21.43$12 inLost-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.