TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks9c7,363$663 inLost-$662.6472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks18c5,429$977 inLost-$977.32615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks21c2,464$514 inLost-$513.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Spurs76c1,313$993 inWon+$319.9910945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs76c1,081$819 inWon+$262.2593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks21c905.11$187 inLost-$187.061,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks23c877.13$204 inLost-$204.451,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks25c550$138 inLost-$137.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs76c531.24$403 inWon+$128.2653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks9c500.59$45 inLost-$45.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks15c499.99$75 inLost-$7553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks20c371.17$75 inLost-$75.0430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks15c320$47 inLost-$47.3533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks18c222$40 inLost-$39.9616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Knicks15c200$30 inLost-$3021242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a0…5911backed Knicks10c196.26$20 inLost-$19.632055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks9c177$16 inLost-$15.931,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Knicks15c125.75$19 inLost-$18.8623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Knicks9c119.99$11 inLost-$10.86619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs61c119.98$73 inWon+$46.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Knicks15c100$15 inLost-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks15c100$15 inLost-$1545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Knicks22c94.78$21 inLost-$20.635042%21 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks19c91$17 inLost-$17.2917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks20c90.42$18 inLost-$17.6825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks22c56.6$13 inLost-$12.644736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Knicks19c54.94$11 inLost-$10.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Spurs78c18.87$15 inWon+$4.159061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.