TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa398…6c83backed Over55c26,167$14,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,522.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c17,694$8,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,971.7110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c14,805$7,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,403.2430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c12,889$5,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,041.7855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c3,998$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c3,666$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c2,596$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.731,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c2,212$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a5…6547backed Under47c1,705$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under46c1,244$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.996445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,198$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.441,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c1,101$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.3564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,000$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.942,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.986055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over11c939.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under44c854.67$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under42c640.68$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8812146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c628.54$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.2252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under45c594.3$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Over53c587.35$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.214344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Under45c576.4$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.021275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over14c509.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.322615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Over59c508.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c498.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.411,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c493.77$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.181,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under71c469.01$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9216251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over29c380.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under41c379.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c374.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over54c373.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.717146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over54c371.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over56c357.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c345.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over50c344.62$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c321.67$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c289.01$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Over59c265.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Over58c260.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03eb…7210backed Over48c255$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over55c210.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7717247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c209.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.011,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under45c206.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over49c202.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2617848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Over47c201$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.472832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over56c200.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.641,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba7…d27abacked Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…369ebacked Under47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c188.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over50c188.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over57c176.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under41c158.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under47c152.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Over55c147.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.325350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over59c147.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.013256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over46c135.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over59c132.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under41c118.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over53c106.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over53c106.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Over78c106.25$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over56c100.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.532864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over60c94.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c91.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.725039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c85.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over26c84.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4964…4e66backed Over59c83.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.182231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under44c78.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over50c75.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.611656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over50c73.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over59c72.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under45c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over50c71.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9510941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over60c68.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over44c67.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c66.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over58c65.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384858.3%28 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over58c61.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under49c60.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c60.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c56.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0625554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307949.4%39 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over57c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4911851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9910757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c43.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.231,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over50c43.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.