NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1b84f6bb45db1c276c0f80f51651e098369fcb6d5506705dc87639b47fc885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 49c | 4,258$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.47 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 49c | 2,200$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 48c | 1,838$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 47c | 740.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.78 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 51c | 695.56$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 48c | 591.39$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…083abacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 52c | 457.56$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 49c | 403.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 47c | 363.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 48c | 340$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 51c | 319.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed No | 48c | 259.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…5088backed Yes | 52c | 204$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Yes | 50c | 200.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…04eebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed No | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed No | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 49c | 105.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 48c | 61.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…a829backed No | 50c | 51.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 52c | 50.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…8d16backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 52c | 49.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 52c | 46.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed No | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…f97ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…545fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 51c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…08e3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 52c | 32.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…2362backed No | 52c | 28.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…172cbacked Yes | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…af17backed Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…4b8fbacked Yes | 50c | 24.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 50c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…01c1backed Yes | 51c | 22.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…b85fbacked Yes | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.