TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf773…f97e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+129%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+817.4%+$817.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$419.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,030.87
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$140.74
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.67
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$76.17
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$260.24
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$153.85
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.1
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.75
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$465.72
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+137.2%+$62.82
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$97.65
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.55
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.02
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.26
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.77
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.42
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$279.59
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$91.27
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.08
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.68
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+124.2%+$33.57
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+60.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.92
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$62.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+567%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,234%+$661.15
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.52
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.