Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b5c242814c6997049f8f4a0bfb1b17c54975e3ba321b02fda564774cafc2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carstenszof Grind Back, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 36c | 4,029$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.78 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 51c | 3,960$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.06 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Carstensz | 72c | 2,157$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.98 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked Carstensz | 30c | 1,949$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Grind Back | 69c | 1,520$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.06 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Carstensz | 37c | 1,500$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.5 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Carstensz | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Grind Back | 40c | 1,171$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.27 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…ff78backed Carstensz | 24c | 1,121$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Grind Back | 74c | 1,100$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.19 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Grind Back | 22c | 999.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Grind Back | 74c | 865.75$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.65 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Carstensz | 26c | 844$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Carstensz | 25c | 706.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.81 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Grind Back | 71c | 666$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Carstensz | 26c | 650.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Grind Back | 72c | 636$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Grind Back | 62c | 604.91$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.73 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Carstensz | 15c | 578.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.52 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Carstensz | 30c | 504.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 32c | 441.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Carstensz | 34c | 385.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Carstensz | 29c | 384.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Carstensz | 30c | 379.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Grind Back | 45c | 370.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 29c | 350.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 52c | 342.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Grind Back | 74c | 337.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Carstensz | 31c | 327.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Grind Back | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Grind Back | 71c | 316.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Carstensz | 27c | 303.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…f97ebacked Grind Back | 75c | 282.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Carstensz | 37c | 270.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back | 53c | 267.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Carstensz | 50c | 252.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 252 | 54.4%137 W · 115 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Carstensz | 14c | 251$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Grind Back | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carstensz | 36c | 220.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Grind Back | 69c | 217.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Grind Back | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Grind Back | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Grind Back | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Grind Back | 66c | 194.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Carstensz | 35c | 192.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Carstensz | 21c | 190.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Carstensz | 58c | 189.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Carstensz | 26c | 187.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Carstensz | 63c | 184.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Grind Back | 42c | 173.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Grind Back | 73c | 171.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…2c33backed Grind Back | 34c | 167.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Grind Back | 10c | 167.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Grind Back | 47c | 166.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Grind Back | 39c | 158$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Carstensz | 44c | 151.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Grind Back | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grind Back | 59c | 139.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Grind Back | 71c | 138.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Carstensz | 10c | 135.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Grind Back | 71c | 135.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Carstensz | 37c | 127.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Carstensz | 63c | 120.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Grind Back | 39c | 115.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Carstensz | 71c | 111.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Grind Back | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Carstensz | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grind Back | 66c | 102.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Grind Back | 46c | 102.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Carstensz | 64c | 100.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Grind Back | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Carstensz | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Grind Back | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Grind Back | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Carstensz | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Carstensz | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…135fbacked Carstensz | 76c | 90.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Carstensz | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Carstensz | 29c | 89.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Grind Back | 68c | 87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b7…561bbacked Grind Back | 57c | 86.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carstensz | 65c | 85.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Carstensz | 51c | 82.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Grind Back | 69c | 72.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Grind Back | 44c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…5b1cbacked Grind Back | 47c | 70.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Grind Back | 42c | 69.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Grind Back | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Grind Back | 73c | 69.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Grind Back | 61c | 68.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked Grind Back | 32c | 67.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7e40backed Grind Back | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Grind Back | 36c | 62.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Grind Back | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Grind Back | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Grind Back | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Carstensz | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Carstensz | 33c | 55.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Carstensz | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Carstensz | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerCarstensz won
- Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Carstensz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.