TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab05…52e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT17448.9%85 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$51.68
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$140.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$87.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+221%+$105.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.31
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.49
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.15
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$21.11
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.86
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$19.89
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.99
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.73
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$29.59
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$21.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$64.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.96
Map Handicap: 9z (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$95.99
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.42
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$70.91
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.78
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.65
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$68.56
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.51
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.38
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.21
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$32.82
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.91
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.45
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.06
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$7.75
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.99
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$56.84
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$98.07
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$86.61
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.