CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb56380ef434cf74db3f5ca0cedd5f32e272b1cfc2e3f88d84ac0417c707fca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed fnatic | 57c | 1,574$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.03 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 50c | 1,427$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 53c | 1,203$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.93 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SPARTA | 41c | 1,174$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 44c | 852.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed fnatic | 51c | 845.51$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.02 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 44c | 799.78$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 53c | 504$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed fnatic | 39c | 466.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed fnatic | 39c | 439.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 51c | 407.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA | 48c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed fnatic | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked fnatic | 42c | 339.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed SPARTA | 50c | 330.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 61c | 277.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed SPARTA | 46c | 274.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked SPARTA | 47c | 260.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6bfebacked fnatic | 66c | 250$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed fnatic | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 44c | 238.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed SPARTA | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed fnatic | 60c | 183.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked SPARTA | 54c | 131.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed SPARTA | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked fnatic | 42c | 70.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed SPARTA | 60c | 69.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked fnatic | 58c | 65.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 41c | 56.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked fnatic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…b9d8backed fnatic | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed fnatic | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked SPARTA | 54c | 44.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…905abacked SPARTA | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA | 26c | 42.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed fnatic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed fnatic | 50c | 32.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SPARTA | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…9092backed SPARTA | 46c | 30.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed fnatic | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed SPARTA | 42c | 26.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked SPARTA | 47c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked SPARTA | 51c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed SPARTA | 47c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked fnatic | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed SPARTA | 48c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed fnatic | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed fnatic | 61c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.