CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf147e95d2b39c18f93bed8e551191fb0575a58a14147012b32dd74c0aba2b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed SPARTA | 28c | 2,980$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.73 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 28c | 2,030$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked fnatic | 66c | 1,519$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed fnatic | 76c | 904.25$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed SPARTA | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 17c | 774.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 32c | 758$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 76c | 620$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed SPARTA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked fnatic | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed SPARTA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed fnatic | 77c | 549.45$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked SPARTA | 18c | 539.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed SPARTA | 37c | 418.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked fnatic | 66c | 367.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked fnatic | 55c | 333.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 66c | 304.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed fnatic | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed SPARTA | 19c | 246.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked fnatic | 56c | 223.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed fnatic | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked SPARTA | 31c | 181.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 78c | 159.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked fnatic | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed SPARTA | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…4858backed fnatic | 69c | 151.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 17c | 149.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed SPARTA | 24c | 143$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed fnatic | 71c | 138.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed SPARTA | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed SPARTA | 33c | 122.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed fnatic | 62c | 112.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked SPARTA | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked fnatic | 63c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed SPARTA | 22c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed fnatic | 64c | 79.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed fnatic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed SPARTA | 31c | 72.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked fnatic | 56c | 71.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed fnatic | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked fnatic | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked SPARTA | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed fnatic | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked fnatic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed fnatic | 65c | 43.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed fnatic | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed fnatic | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed fnatic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked fnatic | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed fnatic | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…7e18backed fnatic | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…905abacked fnatic | 69c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.