CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26a61b5f8ab806a536f4cf4460a8e5cbf5d2ef9f0974936da06a4825d62a9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 29c | 2,505$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.75 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SPARTA | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed fnatic | 56c | 1,253$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked fnatic | 60c | 1,202$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked fnatic | 77c | 1,190$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed SPARTA | 20c | 1,057$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed SPARTA | 40c | 1,051$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic | 60c | 780$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.07 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed SPARTA | 21c | 515.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked fnatic | 59c | 510.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed fnatic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed SPARTA | 7c | 393.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked fnatic | 60c | 387.2$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…dd43backed SPARTA | 14c | 300.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 20c | 298.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked SPARTA | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed SPARTA | 21c | 256.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked SPARTA | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SPARTA | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed SPARTA | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed fnatic | 60c | 182$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed SPARTA | 39c | 169.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed fnatic | 61c | 146.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 71c | 136.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 43c | 134.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed SPARTA | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed SPARTA | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed SPARTA | 42c | 116.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked SPARTA | 41c | 109.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed SPARTA | 40c | 105.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 42c | 99.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 39c | 93.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed fnatic | 59c | 88.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed fnatic | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed fnatic | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed fnatic | 60c | 77.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 57c | 74.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked SPARTA | 49c | 71.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed fnatic | 70c | 68.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed fnatic | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked fnatic | 59c | 50.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked SPARTA | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed fnatic | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 54c | 49.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…a5ecbacked fnatic | 60c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked SPARTA | 41c | 39.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked fnatic | 77c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked fnatic | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed fnatic | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed SPARTA | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed SPARTA | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…f14fbacked fnatic | 64c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked fnatic | 55c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed fnatic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 218 | 55.5%121 W · 97 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed fnatic | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.