TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7251…4a60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$78.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$107.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$64.61
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$62.46
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$14.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$69.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$38.21
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+147%+$61.59
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$166.95
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+45%+$22.49
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$26.71
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$32.46
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$52.35
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.4
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.19
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$85.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.