TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6770…c3bdbacked Keyd14c1,407$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed BESTIA70c1,371$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9115244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Keyd35c1,350$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd9c800.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.12,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BESTIA69c639.18$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.534,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd21c601.7$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.135,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd9c591.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.371,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd24c534.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd35c438.59$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.933,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Keyd7c422.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd15c408.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.423,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Keyd29c400$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.791,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Keyd49c385.96$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.843544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…929bbacked Keyd44c378.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA72c365$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.21,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd7c310.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.087,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e611backed Keyd33c306.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Keyd28c289.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6921143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Keyd43c285.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2716248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Keyd23c263.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3510338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Keyd28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Keyd34c239$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1344343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA77c228.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.136,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd38c220.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.171,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked BESTIA46c216.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4731845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked BESTIA72c203.2$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.924447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Keyd24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4839038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Keyd35c198.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4352150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Keyd39c186.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Keyd18c182.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keyd20c182.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.152,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA72c170.17$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.134,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Keyd33c167.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.682,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7251…4a60backed Keyd25c157.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Keyd33c149.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd23c147$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.152,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Keyd29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed BESTIA71c132.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.575541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA74c130.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.871,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Keyd24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed BESTIA65c123.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.795170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Keyd24c120.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Keyd13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5932139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA67c117.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9141054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Keyd42c116.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4913254.5%72 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA67c115.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0351348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd13c103.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.422,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Keyd28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Keyd23c99.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA68c90.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5540666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed BESTIA58c86.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4319057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA69c85.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Keyd31c83.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keyd29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.280942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed BESTIA50c77.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5735953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Keyd17c74.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3522346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA63c71.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7322954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Keyd26c69.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd33c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.152,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Keyd31c57.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.624558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Keyd31c55.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked BESTIA56c53.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3638469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA79c50.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.932361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…797ebacked BESTIA70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed BESTIA65c48.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f49…2285backed Keyd40c47.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194852.1%25 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Keyd42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Keyd29c46.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4414447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed BESTIA67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0721251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked BESTIA66c44.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1917067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed BESTIA60c43.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3413871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA63c41.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3355039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Keyd53c36.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked BESTIA68c35.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked BESTIA62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Keyd33c34.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4120046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed BESTIA67c34.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA69c34.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b1…1ac5backed Keyd44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed BESTIA66c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd34c32.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed BESTIA71c31.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA51c29.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4277146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed BESTIA65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2747856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked BESTIA67c26.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed BESTIA68c24.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9424152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed BESTIA62c24.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed BESTIA66c23.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9411358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed BESTIA51c23.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4228761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed BESTIA66c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6510956.9%62 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked BESTIA75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked BESTIA66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87959.5%47 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed BESTIA65c18.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4324756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed BESTIA75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.