TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Keyd24c2,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd17c1,662$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.842,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed BESTIA76c1,325$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1528455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Keyd27c1,313$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed BESTIA76c1,230$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.766956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Keyd20c1,024$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA78c799.72$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.682,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Keyd25c764$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19142638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Keyd24c714.61$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd13c570.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.441,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd9c554.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.363,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed BESTIA72c544.79$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Keyd16c532.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7319057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA77c497.08$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BESTIA78c468.12$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.684,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd18c463.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd19c404.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.56,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Keyd6c403$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked BESTIA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Keyd25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Keyd8c399.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.651,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked BESTIA76c370.26$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed BESTIA76c359.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3724544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed Keyd14c358.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Keyd9c349.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.374,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Keyd23c342.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Keyd21c306.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.313754.1%20 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed Keyd25c300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Keyd11c295.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9912531.2%39 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd20c277.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Keyd24c275.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2439245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd20c255$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed BESTIA75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed BESTIA75c247.26$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5299…c4e0backed Keyd9c228.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd18c227.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30b8…b6a0backed BESTIA76c227.63$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Keyd18c222.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Keyd13c222.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-85.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keyd19c218.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.282,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…b948backed Keyd20c216.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.383351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Keyd17c212.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1463038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Keyd17c206.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6727037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Keyd25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Keyd25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BESTIA74c191.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Keyd23c182$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5832139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd8c175.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.052,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd23c168$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.272,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd19c163.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA79c150.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.553,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Keyd14c148$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd20c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.643,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…ee4abacked Keyd20c137.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Keyd26c136.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2945748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd12c131.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.532,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed BESTIA76c131.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232576%19 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed BESTIA76c128.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.772774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd10c120.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BESTIA74c119.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked BESTIA75c119.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed BESTIA74c110.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Keyd19c106.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Keyd24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked BESTIA76c89.09$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3832458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Keyd24c86.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.619129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed Keyd23c86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.786924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA75c78.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2180740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Keyd24c76.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3920045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed BESTIA75c75.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.957855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Keyd23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3223244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Keyd24c66.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.126446.9%30 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked BESTIA76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.798960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked BESTIA72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88031.3%25 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked BESTIA75c58.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7951252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed BESTIA72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1467750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Keyd25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA78c49.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0222954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Keyd24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked BESTIA75c39.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9417067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA76c30.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.231,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA76c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1567547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed BESTIA74c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.424054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked BESTIA79c20.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2115469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked BESTIA76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.87959.5%47 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe676…aeaabacked BESTIA76c15.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.655766.7%38 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed BESTIA76c13.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.214060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.