CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0e2a65233b0861951774c6364646a63d41e173ed3ae2f7f48ea5756240849e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Keyd | 52c | 4,467$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.76 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed BESTIA | 48c | 1,448$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.54 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked BESTIA | 48c | 1,080$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.51 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Keyd | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 48c | 765.56$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.09 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked BESTIA | 48c | 616.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed BESTIA | 47c | 569.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed BESTIA | 48c | 504.17$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Keyd | 53c | 500.24$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Keyd | 53c | 463.78$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked BESTIA | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BESTIA | 47c | 326.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BESTIA | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Keyd | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 51c | 117.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed BESTIA | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed BESTIA | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked BESTIA | 47c | 61.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA | 61c | 54.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BESTIA | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…9240backed Keyd | 37c | 39.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BESTIA | 46c | 33.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Keyd | 54c | 26.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 51c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.