TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA59c2,099$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.951,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BESTIA75c1,980$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1245058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd52c1,481$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.512,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA74c1,454$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Keyd26c1,284$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BESTIA56c1,153$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA72c1,120$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Keyd44c918.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed BESTIA73c846.8$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0815052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd32c842.33$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.826,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Keyd27c743.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Keyd29c647.36$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA61c612.63$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.671,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Keyd24c583.62$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.761,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked BESTIA75c530$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7315246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keyd28c498.09$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.182,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd28c394.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.52,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Keyd29c354.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA48c353$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.012,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Keyd47c343.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.684757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked BESTIA75c334.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6515047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA63c323.1$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.232,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Keyd25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Keyd3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.213342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Keyd29c296.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5315244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA77c295.39$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.435,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Keyd23c261$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0324447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Keyd24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA60c241.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.442,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Keyd19c236.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Keyd49c232.49$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2433057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed BESTIA54c203.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4427544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Keyd25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Keyd48c198.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3516248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Keyd49c192.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA67c184.74$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.654,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd34c161.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.563,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA56c158$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9140666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BESTIA54c148.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.861,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked BESTIA80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd33c138.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.597,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd39c138$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.325,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd25c137.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Keyd33c133.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Keyd41c131.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3727037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked BESTIA56c126.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd29c126.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.72,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Keyd28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Keyd30c122.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.251,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd40c121.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.891,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd29c117.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.542,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Keyd41c116.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3541260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed BESTIA72c115$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Keyd27c108$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.169737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed Keyd27c107.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.672611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd34c106.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Keyd47c101.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9436446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Keyd28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Keyd25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Keyd25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…e654backed Keyd26c99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed BESTIA76c98.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3622346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Keyd22c96.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1814151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Keyd39c96.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2110338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Keyd28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.323,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed BESTIA75c87.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.079960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Keyd27c86.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7780740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA51c86.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.271,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.062,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f61…c7a3backed BESTIA50c79.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…1ac5backed BESTIA77c78.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Keyd41c71.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Keyd28c70.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.656248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed BESTIA73c68.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6336749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x693b…84e3backed BESTIA75c67.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.033100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Keyd17c61.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed Keyd49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.172,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Keyd43c43.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8614447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA74c41.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6432361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Keyd26c40.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56333.3%21 W · 42 L-11.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Keyd27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed BESTIA77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.418059.4%107 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Keyd33c39.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2224756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Keyd38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BESTIA65c38.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked Keyd48c37.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked BESTIA68c35.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2217067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Keyd39c33.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9540457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA57c31.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA71c29.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.481,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed BESTIA68c29.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4331662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d98…1c46backed BESTIA53c24.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked BESTIA77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8513871%98 W · 40 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked BESTIA74c20.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd479…1920backed BESTIA74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.26100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3d…6aa1backed BESTIA74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27970.9%56 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked BESTIA68c16.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.